Determining victory

Fr. Gaurav Nair Fr. Gaurav Nair
11 Dec 2023

Overturning exit poll predictions and defying political pundits' analyses, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) emerged triumphant against the Congress in the three contested States. Reclaiming control in Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh while retaining power in Madhya Pradesh, the BJP's success seemed to run contrary to initial expectations. The Congress's remarkable resurgence in Telangana, where it had faced ousting previously, stands as the sole silver lining in an otherwise challenging scenario.

The BJP's victory in this round underscores its growing influence over the Hindi belt. While some may be tempted to attribute this success to Electronic Voting Machines (EVMs), it cannot be ignored that the party's divisive strategies, coupled with its members' groundwork at the grassroots level, played a pivotal role. But it would be reductive to attribute the situation only to a single factor.

Congress's inflexibility proved costly, resulting in the loss of all three states it had secured just five years ago. This same rigidity led to a mass exodus of party members and an ongoing deterioration in its overall standing. Although the success in Telangana is commendable, the looming Lok Sabha election poses a formidable challenge.

A closer examination of the electoral map reveals a stark divide between the BJP's dominance in the north and non-BJP parties in the south of India. Notably, the BJP's continued siege on the southern states has yielded an increasing number of seats compared to previous elections.

The Bharat Rashtra Samithi's (BRS) failure in Telangana extends beyond typical anti-incumbency; it signifies a rejection of dynastic rule devoid of ideology. This serves as a cautionary signal to the Gandhis and their ardent supporters, urging them to allow the Congress to grow organically, free from their shadow. The younger generation within the party, eager to showcase their capabilities, has been stifled by an older generation in which the family finds comfort.

The BJP took a high-risk approach by centring its campaign around Prime Minister Narendra Modi, sidelining regional leaders such as Vasundhara Raje. Fortunately for them, this gamble paid off, unlike its failure in Karnataka. The BJP secured a comfortable majority with 115 out of 199 seats in Rajasthan, 164 out of 230 in Madhya Pradesh, and 54 of 90 in Chhattisgarh, granting them unilateral power to shape the government in all three states. This does not mean consolidating power at the centre and weakening at the local level is the way to go. However, it does mean that the BJP has been able to bridge the gap between the centre and state in this instance and has been able to grasp a clear advantage by a wide margin.

These decisive numbers empower the BJP's central leadership, particularly Prime Minister Modi, who looks forward to a third consecutive term. Ashok Gehlot couldn't hold the fort despite his valiant efforts in Rajasthan to prevent a complete Congress washout. In Chhattisgarh, the party faltered amid allegations of corruption and policies that marginalised tribal communities.

These outcomes signal an urgent need for Congress to reevaluate its strategy, starting with a change in leadership to rebuild trust among the people and the party workers. The Bharat Jodo Yatra aimed to engage with social groups but fell short of expectations.

The prospect of Congress re-entering the political arena appears dim unless a significant event with immediate and historically profound implications sways the citizens' emotions.

Recent Posts

Nestled in the heart of Muirabad slum, an elderly nun serves as a guiding light for the children of rickshaw pullers, providing not just education but also a sense of dignity, love, and hope for a bri
apicture CM Paul
20 Oct 2025
Last fortnight, I travelled to Sihora in Madhya Pradesh to attend the 83rd Christa Panthi Ashram Day. It was my third visit to that tranquil village, but my first to witness the annual celebration of
apicture A. J. Philip
20 Oct 2025
From innovator to inmate, Sonam Wangchuk's journey mirrors India's uneasy relationship with dissent. Once hailed for transforming Ladakh's education and environment, he now sits behind bars under the
apicture Joseph Jerald SJ
20 Oct 2025
Teachers' laments echo through the classrooms. Grades have replaced growth, learning is business, and respect lies buried under parental demands and corporate pressure. We are raising hollow achievers
apicture Prince Varghese
20 Oct 2025
In classrooms turned pressure cookers, India's children chase ranks instead of dreams. Every exam season claims new victims while forgetting those from the previous season. When success is equated to
apicture Jaswant Kaur
20 Oct 2025
In essence, Dilexi te calls the global Church to re-centre its life and mission on compassionate love, transforming both hearts and societies. By uniting contemplation and action, theology and justice
apicture Fr. Royston Pinto, SJ
20 Oct 2025
From temples to tech platforms, faith today has a price tag. Access to the sacred has become a service, and devotion has become a delivery model. It is time to ask—are we still praising, or merely pri
apicture M L Satyan
20 Oct 2025
The shoe hurled at the Chief Justice was more than an act of rage. It was a symptom of a deeper rot. Caste arrogance, coupled with political immunity, made a mockery of the justice system. India's dem
apicture Ram Puniyani
20 Oct 2025
Patience is passion tamed. Certainly, our patience is bound to achieve more than our force. A little patience should allow us to escape much mortification. What we usually forget is Time takes away as
apicture P. Raja
20 Oct 2025
When we stay away from gatherings of peace, are we making a quiet statement that peace is someone else's business? That compassion is an optional virtue? I hope I'm wrong. I hope our absence doesn't s
apicture Robert Clements
20 Oct 2025