Determining victory

Fr. Gaurav Nair Fr. Gaurav Nair
11 Dec 2023

Overturning exit poll predictions and defying political pundits' analyses, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) emerged triumphant against the Congress in the three contested States. Reclaiming control in Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh while retaining power in Madhya Pradesh, the BJP's success seemed to run contrary to initial expectations. The Congress's remarkable resurgence in Telangana, where it had faced ousting previously, stands as the sole silver lining in an otherwise challenging scenario.

The BJP's victory in this round underscores its growing influence over the Hindi belt. While some may be tempted to attribute this success to Electronic Voting Machines (EVMs), it cannot be ignored that the party's divisive strategies, coupled with its members' groundwork at the grassroots level, played a pivotal role. But it would be reductive to attribute the situation only to a single factor.

Congress's inflexibility proved costly, resulting in the loss of all three states it had secured just five years ago. This same rigidity led to a mass exodus of party members and an ongoing deterioration in its overall standing. Although the success in Telangana is commendable, the looming Lok Sabha election poses a formidable challenge.

A closer examination of the electoral map reveals a stark divide between the BJP's dominance in the north and non-BJP parties in the south of India. Notably, the BJP's continued siege on the southern states has yielded an increasing number of seats compared to previous elections.

The Bharat Rashtra Samithi's (BRS) failure in Telangana extends beyond typical anti-incumbency; it signifies a rejection of dynastic rule devoid of ideology. This serves as a cautionary signal to the Gandhis and their ardent supporters, urging them to allow the Congress to grow organically, free from their shadow. The younger generation within the party, eager to showcase their capabilities, has been stifled by an older generation in which the family finds comfort.

The BJP took a high-risk approach by centring its campaign around Prime Minister Narendra Modi, sidelining regional leaders such as Vasundhara Raje. Fortunately for them, this gamble paid off, unlike its failure in Karnataka. The BJP secured a comfortable majority with 115 out of 199 seats in Rajasthan, 164 out of 230 in Madhya Pradesh, and 54 of 90 in Chhattisgarh, granting them unilateral power to shape the government in all three states. This does not mean consolidating power at the centre and weakening at the local level is the way to go. However, it does mean that the BJP has been able to bridge the gap between the centre and state in this instance and has been able to grasp a clear advantage by a wide margin.

These decisive numbers empower the BJP's central leadership, particularly Prime Minister Modi, who looks forward to a third consecutive term. Ashok Gehlot couldn't hold the fort despite his valiant efforts in Rajasthan to prevent a complete Congress washout. In Chhattisgarh, the party faltered amid allegations of corruption and policies that marginalised tribal communities.

These outcomes signal an urgent need for Congress to reevaluate its strategy, starting with a change in leadership to rebuild trust among the people and the party workers. The Bharat Jodo Yatra aimed to engage with social groups but fell short of expectations.

The prospect of Congress re-entering the political arena appears dim unless a significant event with immediate and historically profound implications sways the citizens' emotions.

Recent Posts

Zohran Mamdani's ascent to New York's mayorship signals a global shift towards compassion, inclusion, and social justice. His victory shows that we can still triumph over hate and authoritarianism and
apicture Jacob Peenikaparambil
10 Nov 2025
At a time when Nehru's legacy is being vilified by the right-wing regime, it is vital to recall how his visionary policy of non-alignment and moral diplomacy elevated India's global stature, preventin
apicture G Ramachandram
10 Nov 2025
In honouring St John Henry Newman as Doctor of the Church, Pope Leo XIV rekindled a light that once guided Mahatma Gandhi. Across religions and continents, both men sought Truth amid darkness. They ar
apicture Cedric Prakash
10 Nov 2025
The 5th brainstorming session aimed to combat the "Minority Syndrome" and tackle the challenges of postmodern, intolerant situations in the Indian context.
apicture Francis Sunil Rosario
10 Nov 2025
India's 8,000 empty schools expose a collapse of purpose. Education isn't about buildings or statistics - it's about learning, trust, and accountability. A school without students mirrors a nation for
apicture Jaswant Kaur
10 Nov 2025
As education faces the twin storms of digital disruption and cultural fragmentation, Salesian Higher Education is quietly charting a new course rooted in synodality, co-responsibility, and fidelity to
apicture CM Paul
10 Nov 2025
Children's Day is more than a celebration — it is a conscience. In a world where one billion children face poverty, abuse, or neglect, protecting them is a duty, not charity. A society that fails its
apicture Fr. Royston Pinto, SJ
10 Nov 2025
The tragic suicides of youths blackmailed with AI-generated images highlight a growing and urgent crisis. Digital literacy, vigilance, and empathy are now essential life skills. Parents, schools, and
apicture Richa Walia
10 Nov 2025
Hilarious — and at times deeply troubling — claims are being circulated by some self-styled "andh-bhakts" to discredit the well-documented Mughal origin of the Taj Mahal. These attempts to recast it a
apicture Balvinder
10 Nov 2025
In this month of remembrance—when we honour the souls of the departed and contemplate the mystery of death—these thoughts come not as shadows, but as lanterns.
apicture Prince Varghese
10 Nov 2025