Determining victory

Fr. Gaurav Nair Fr. Gaurav Nair
11 Dec 2023

Overturning exit poll predictions and defying political pundits' analyses, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) emerged triumphant against the Congress in the three contested States. Reclaiming control in Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh while retaining power in Madhya Pradesh, the BJP's success seemed to run contrary to initial expectations. The Congress's remarkable resurgence in Telangana, where it had faced ousting previously, stands as the sole silver lining in an otherwise challenging scenario.

The BJP's victory in this round underscores its growing influence over the Hindi belt. While some may be tempted to attribute this success to Electronic Voting Machines (EVMs), it cannot be ignored that the party's divisive strategies, coupled with its members' groundwork at the grassroots level, played a pivotal role. But it would be reductive to attribute the situation only to a single factor.

Congress's inflexibility proved costly, resulting in the loss of all three states it had secured just five years ago. This same rigidity led to a mass exodus of party members and an ongoing deterioration in its overall standing. Although the success in Telangana is commendable, the looming Lok Sabha election poses a formidable challenge.

A closer examination of the electoral map reveals a stark divide between the BJP's dominance in the north and non-BJP parties in the south of India. Notably, the BJP's continued siege on the southern states has yielded an increasing number of seats compared to previous elections.

The Bharat Rashtra Samithi's (BRS) failure in Telangana extends beyond typical anti-incumbency; it signifies a rejection of dynastic rule devoid of ideology. This serves as a cautionary signal to the Gandhis and their ardent supporters, urging them to allow the Congress to grow organically, free from their shadow. The younger generation within the party, eager to showcase their capabilities, has been stifled by an older generation in which the family finds comfort.

The BJP took a high-risk approach by centring its campaign around Prime Minister Narendra Modi, sidelining regional leaders such as Vasundhara Raje. Fortunately for them, this gamble paid off, unlike its failure in Karnataka. The BJP secured a comfortable majority with 115 out of 199 seats in Rajasthan, 164 out of 230 in Madhya Pradesh, and 54 of 90 in Chhattisgarh, granting them unilateral power to shape the government in all three states. This does not mean consolidating power at the centre and weakening at the local level is the way to go. However, it does mean that the BJP has been able to bridge the gap between the centre and state in this instance and has been able to grasp a clear advantage by a wide margin.

These decisive numbers empower the BJP's central leadership, particularly Prime Minister Modi, who looks forward to a third consecutive term. Ashok Gehlot couldn't hold the fort despite his valiant efforts in Rajasthan to prevent a complete Congress washout. In Chhattisgarh, the party faltered amid allegations of corruption and policies that marginalised tribal communities.

These outcomes signal an urgent need for Congress to reevaluate its strategy, starting with a change in leadership to rebuild trust among the people and the party workers. The Bharat Jodo Yatra aimed to engage with social groups but fell short of expectations.

The prospect of Congress re-entering the political arena appears dim unless a significant event with immediate and historically profound implications sways the citizens' emotions.

Recent Posts

The defection of seven AAP Rajya Sabha MPs simultaneously crossed the anti-defection law's two-thirds merger threshold, exposing how constitutional safeguards themselves can be used to legitimise mass
apicture Jacob Peenikaparambil
04 May 2026
The reason I write this now is that you once tried to show the Congress Party in a poor light by claiming its leaders have few qualms about leaving and joining the BJP. You asserted that, in contrast,
apicture A. J. Philip
04 May 2026
Worker unrest in Noida exposes the hollow promises of Labour Codes, as exploitative conditions persist amid weak protections and repression. Rooted in dignity and justice, the call for solidarity high
apicture Cedric Prakash
04 May 2026
Despite massive violence and displacement in Manipur, justice remains absent and accountability elusive. Increased militarisation without political resolution risks deepening conflict, as unresolved g
apicture John Dayal
04 May 2026
A tribal man carrying his sister's corpse to a bank exposed the cruelty of a governance system obsessed with documentation and authentication. The article argues that welfare, pensions, food, labour,
apicture Jaswant Kaur
04 May 2026
The Kerala High Court reaffirmed that an adult woman's choice of faith, celibacy, or religious life lies within her exclusive private domain. The judgment stressed that parental displeasure cannot jus
apicture Jessy Kurian
04 May 2026
While powerful businessmen loot public wealth with impunity, widows, migrant labourers, and the poor struggle for survival through humiliation and neglect. Fraud, inequality, and proximity to politica
apicture Prakash Louis
04 May 2026
Manu Smriti 2.148: "Jati stands for 'Janma,' birth." Apastamba Dharma Shastra 1.1.1.4-5: "[There are] four castes Brahmana, Kshatriyas, Vaishya, and Shudra."
apicture Dr Suryaraju Mattimalla
04 May 2026
Trump's threats to "wipe out" Iran are a warning against arrogant majoritarian politics everywhere. Violence, hubris and intolerance ultimately destroy both empires and constitutional societies.
apicture Thomas Menamparampil
04 May 2026
Union Minister Jyotiraditya Scindia has apparently discovered a revolutionary alternative to air conditioning. A humble onion in his pocket!
apicture Robert Clements
04 May 2026