Wars Have Unintended
Consequences
Histories are usually written by
winners who describe the performance of their heroes in glorious terms. Their
society immortalizes the epic tales in song and story, drama and recitations,
adding flavour to the narratives with the integration of facts with fiction,
overlaying of humiliating truths with colourful boasts. However, perceptive
students of history notice other dimensions to the embellished account.
Every victory over a neighbour
makes a nation live in “continuous dread†when the retaliation will come. The
defeated nation, in turn, keeps alive the wound that they are determined to
avenge at the earliest possible opportunity. Everyone fights to win. But every
thunderous victory opens out a shortcut to a crushing defeat…if not today,
tomorrow; if not with these allies, with others; if not because of fresh
economic sturdiness, because of burgeoning population growth at a later date.
The story is extremely similar between England and France, France and Germany,
Athens and Sparta. Only, in the last case, Athens never recovered. Her Delian
allies abandoned her, and Ionia was annexed by Persia. And Macedon took over
Athens itself a little later.
It was the Peloponnesian war that
destroyed Athens. It was between neighbours.
Three times she had been offered terms of
peace by Sparta. Lost in her self-importance and proud of her democratic traditions,
she was determined to teach autocratic Sparta a lesson. But she destroyed
herself. Thucydides, the great historian, describes the war at length. He had
served in the Athenian army; so had Plato. What you fight for is not what you
get.
Grabbing a Bit of Land
Can Pave the Way to Self-destruction
Achaemenid Persia controlled the
entire world from the Indus Valley to the Aegean Sea. But the emperors were not
satisfied until the Greek cities too were brought under their control. The
Greeks refused to yield. They threw the Persians back in the battles at Marathon,
Thermopyle and Salamis. And a little later, Alexander pressed further forward,
determined to teach them a lesson, carrying all before him even up to India. The
Persians lost their very homeland. Herodotus, the great historian, takes pains
to tell us WHY “the two peoples fought with each otherâ€.
Human pride and human follies. He wanted later
generations to learn a lesson.
Look at what happened in the
Seven Years’ War (1756-63). Austria merely wanted to take back Silesia which
she had lost to Prussia in a recent war. France was ready to help Austria, and
so Britain hastily joined Prussia to keep balance. The war that followed killed
more than 850,000 troops; over 30,000 civilians died from local violence and
disease; all fighting nations went bankrupt. Further blunders followed.
The British government raised taxes to
stabilize her economy, provoking the American War of Independence and thus
losing her major American possessions. The French over-taxed their people which
ultimately led to the great Revolution of 1789. You sow winds and reap
whirlwinds, you grab an inch of land and lose a continent.
The Mood for War Is
Collectively Constructed
The two World Wars turned out to
be the “Collective Suicide†of Europe. A Continent that controlled over 90% of
the political space of the world at the beginning of last century, drove
themselves to total helplessness by the end of the two Wars. They were able to
stand on their feet again only with generous American help, the Marshall Plan.
But this was a tragedy that they
had invoked upon themselves. Roger Osborne in his book “Civilization†(Random
House, London, 2006) is merciless in placing the full responsibility for the
disaster on the “War Mentality†the nations concerned had built up during the 19th
and 20th centuries. Each of them were convinced of their own superiority,
looking down on others. The French considered the Germans uncultured, the
Germans despised the Russians as an inferior race. The British were sure that
they, as Anglo-Saxons, were destined to rule the world. Patriotism meant near
“worship of the stateâ€, nationalism the peak of spirituality, and national symbolisms
almost objects of idolatrous adoration. Hatred of the ‘enemy’ was a national
duty. Anyone who failed to do so was a ‘traitor’.
Have you heard echoes of the same
fervour among our Hindutva nationalists during the brief period that the BJP
has been in power, demanding from fellow-citizens that they shout their
slogans, dictating postures at their whims, imposing their food habits on
others, declaring dissenters ‘anti-national’, asking colleagues who differed to
‘go to Pakistan’? Such an aggressive mood is “collectively constructedâ€, shaped
under formal instructions. These things do not happen by mere chance.
Bitter Fruits of
Aggressive Nationalism
John Keegan argues that long
before the First World War, Europe had increasingly come to resemble a “vast
military campâ€.
See in comparison in India, the mounting
enrolment rate of the RSS in recent years and their glamorous display of
strength during their drills and in defence of Hindutva values and aging cattle
manifest precisely the same traits of irrational display of chauvinism. At the
beginning of July 1914 there were some 4 million Europeans actually in
uniforms; in two months there were 20 million…and tens of thousands were
already dead (Osborne 11).
This disaster did not overtake
them unexpectedly overnight. It was invited. Osborne says, not only ambitious
leaders, but entire populations, were convinced that a “major conflict was not
only inevitable but positively desirableâ€.
Militarism, he says, and “aggressive
nationalism infected every area of lifeâ€. An eagerness for aggressive action was
consciously built up over decades (Ibid 408). The way some of our countrymen
express their pride about ‘surgical strikes’ against a neighbouring country,
Balakot intrusion into another sovereign State, and force occupation of PoK raise
questions, anxieties. They little realize that the same “aggressive
nationalismâ€, that destroyed Europe during the last century, is being driven
into Indian blood; in fact, that they are active agents of it. In India, there
is the additional dimension to it: that of venting anger against minorities,
Dalits, tribals, marginal communities. The Sangh Parivar tutors who are eager
to add an “aggressive edge†to our collective psyche are accountable to our centuries
old Civilization!
Death, Defeat and
Destruction
Once war was declared, there was
exuberance on every side for a while. Letters, diaries and memoirs record the
“sense of joy†at the hope of proximate action: daring, venture, achievement,
triumphant return home! Such were the songs. Every nation was confident of victory.
“German military leaders felt their nation was invincible, while the Russians
believed they might reach Berlin before the Germans reached Parisâ€. Leftist
parties who were in principle against war consoled themselves with the belief
that this would be a brief decisive war: ‘the War to end all Wars’. A minority
of sober-minded people could hardly believe that “Europe had sleep-walked into
a war†that really meant its own destruction (Ibid 423).
This widespread sense of joy
could not continue as the War began to make its demands. Thousands were dying
in a single day. Trench warfare was exasperating. Day in and day out before
fire-power, in the cold, rain, hunger…amidst feelings of betrayal, cowardice, flight.
But the struggle dragged on. All optimism and thrill vanished as the conflict
days lengthened. No victory, only uncertainty. Here, before mighty machine
guns, there was too little chance for self-display or teasing challenge. War
became a living nightmare of technically advanced weapons inflicting anonymous
carnage on “millions†of human lives. The artillerymen never saw those they
killed, the infantrymen never knew who killed them (Ibid 423). Most of the
generals were used to fighting colonial wars against poorly armed enemies; none
had ever fought a war where the defence was sustained by a vast machinery of
artillery and machine guns. Millions of men of service age were mercilessly
poured into the murderous conflict. War really meant mere death and destruction.
We will not go into further
details of the disastrous War, its humiliating conclusions, and its many
unintended consequences:
the Russian
Revolution and the rise of the Communist movement worldwide,
the definitive decline of the colonial powers,
the rise of America with already her initial readiness to replace them, peace
terms that paved the way for another War. Despite all this, the painful fact remains:
humanity is slow to learn from a perceptive reading of history.
Two Schools of Thought
Two schools of thought have
always flourished side by side: the one proposing peace, collaborative effort
and progress; the other suggesting a self-assertive way to the same progress,
which will not however exclude conflict and war. The Indian genius opted for
the first approach from the times of Gautama Buddha and Vardhamana Mahavira,
whose genes probably ran in the veins of Mahatma Gandhi. Vinayak Damodar
Savarkar, on the other hand, believed in strong national self-assertion. He
belonged to the age of Mussolini and Hitler and closely vibrated with them. He
wanted his countrymen to be like the young European rebels of his times who
wanted to change the world order. He thought that the Buddhist approach would
be a betrayal of the national cause. The fact that countries like Italy and
Germany destroyed themselves in opting for the violent path has not discouraged
Savarkar’s followers from seeking to impose it on others.
History has lessons for us.
People usually follow those whom they admire. Many of the leaders of the
Russian, Chinese, Vietnamese and Cambodian Communist Revolutions had studied in
Paris, and the models for radical social change that were placed before them
were those of the French Revolution. No wonder they tried to imitate them with
similar consequences. On the contrary, Indian freedom fighters like Gandhi,
Nehru and others studied in London and had seen that even revolutionary social changes
could be brought about through parliamentary reforms. They had seen that
peaceful self-assertion could combine with dialogue and tangible results. They
opted for the latter path and left the ideals of peace for fellow Indians.
The Chinese Have
Admired Indian Wisdom, Indians have Esteemed the Chinese
The Chinese have always admired
Indian wisdom and still cherish the memories of Indian teachers of earlier centuries,
both Hindu and Buddhist. However, a section of the community thought that the
Indian submission to colonial rule was a humiliating acceptance of servility by
a great Asian nation. Indians fighting for the East India Company and in the
British Indian army strengthened that attitude. Today, they are worried lest
Indians shift the same loyalty to the Americans. It is good to look at reality
with someone else’s eyes, even as we make the wisest decisions.
Tagore, while having many
admirers in China, was humiliated in Hong Kong by some young men of this school
of thought who considered the Indian path of peace a public admission of
weakness. They did not want China to be infected by that enfeebling ideology. Mao
Zedong certainly belonged to that school of thought.
In fact, he was convinced that Confucianism
itself had a weakening impact on the Chinese character. That is why he adopted
a fierce western ideology (Marxist) to avenge the western humiliation of the
Chinese people. Xi Jinping holds on to the same ideology. If we go by the
experience of history, we know there is a limit to excessive self-assertion
with arms. The great Chinese philosopher Lao Tzu (604-531 BC) with his deep
intuition proposed centuries ago, “Can you know what is emerging, yet keep your
peace while others discover for themselves?â€
Watch for a while until your opponent is forced to learn a lesson for
himself.
These are difficult times, with coronavirus
advancing, economy collapsing, leaders still unwilling to admit their mistakes
and listen to diverse points of view. But a change is possible. It will be a
pity if they will be forced to learn a hard lesson in the hard way.
In any case, India’s External
Affairs Minister, S. Jaishankar, seems to believe in dialogue and a sober
approach to issues, whether they be conversation with people of similar
concerns or respectful dealing with neighbours. For he knows, as Lao Tzu says, “For
every force there is a counterforce. Violence, even when well intentioned,
always rebounds upon oneselfâ€
(Tao Te
Ching 30). And to match it, Indian wisdom urges,
“Oh Men! Direct your energies to promote the
good of all mankind†(Rig Veda 8,49,4).
(Published
on 14th September 2020, Volume XXXII, Issue 38)